10:02 PM EDT, Sun October 17, 2021
Oct 12, 2021
Rotation Candidates for the 2022 Diamondbacks

Rotation Candidates for the 2022 Diamondbacks

Carson Kelly, Matt Herges, and Zac Gallen. | Photo by Chris Coduto/ Candidates’ stats are compared to averages. Four role models are suggested. The Diamondbacks played winning teams in September (more details about September opponents can be found in Picking Position Players for 2022 Diamondbacks). Nine potential starters for 2022 pitched in September (7 as starters, and 2 as relief appearances only). After we choose which stats to look at, let’s compare their September stats to averages in the Majors. ERA and GameScore. These two stats are basic ways to...
Oct 5, 2021
Picking Position Players for 2022 Diamondbacks

Picking Position Players for 2022 Diamondbacks

Geraldo Perdomo plays shortstop. | Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/ Choices are explained, subject to caveats. In September, the Diamondbacks played 22 of 25 games against teams with records above 500. Ten games were against teams in first place in their Division, and 12 games were against second place teams. Because they played excellent teams, and because many position players were given playing time, comparing September’s metrics is an excellent way to choose the 2022 lineup of position players. Three caveats: The Diamondbacks expect the players will continue to...
Sep 28, 2021
Hits & Misses in Stat Predictions

Hits & Misses in Stat Predictions

Jake McCarthy and Josh Rojas celebrate. | Photo by Norm Hall/ Some stat leaders were young new faces. In February, I predicted which players could have team leading statistics at the end of this season. Let’s look at what actually happened in games through 19 September. Stats were from Baseball Reference, FanGraphs, Baseball Savant, and the Fielding Bible. Some stat leaders were mostly as expected. Seth Beer led the team with 1.389 OPS & 267 OPS+, .444 ISO, 260 wRC+, .500 OBP, .100 homers per PA, and .400 hits per PA. The prediction was, “Matching the ZiPS...
Sep 24, 2021
Series Preview # 50 : Diamondbacks vs Dodgers & The Wizard Returns

Series Preview # 50 : Diamondbacks vs Dodgers & The Wizard Returns

The Wiz enjoys the beach. | Photo by Mindy Schauer/MediaNews Group/Orange County Register via The Wizard returns. I sat on my bench thinking masks were rare before they became cool before they became delightfully diverse. Mask on, mask off, mask on, mask off. Social distancing goes on and on and on. As my mind clears, I arrive at a soft mental quiet. The vibration in the wind was less about almost nearly winning and slightly less about losing. The vibe felt like the twilight between sunny and darkness. Boots lightly crunching on top the earth announced the Wizard’s...
Sep 21, 2021
How High Will The Diamondbacks Bounce in 2022?

How High Will The Diamondbacks Bounce in 2022?

Torey Lovullo before the road series against the Mariners, which the Diamondbacks won. | Photo by Steph Chambers/ Although it’s not a sure thing, there are good reasons to expect the 2022 Diamondbacks to win more than 77 games. First, I tip my hat to Jack Sommers for activating my optimism. His most excellent piece showed that that in the last 52 years, when a team wins less than 35% it’s rare when they bounce above .500 in the next season. The 2021 Diamondbacks are a rare team, more rare than the 2004 Diamondbacks. The 2004 Diamondbacks had a 31.5% winning...

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